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Saw this thread over on the WERA board and thought it was an interesting topic for the winter bench racing crowd.
Personal opinion: you can teach someone to be fast. How fast depends on the person. Not just their natural abilites, but their age, financial situation, and mentality. I think you need to start with a young, athletic person with plenty of money and possibly some industry connections who is highly motivated to get to an elite level. Then, you need luck.
What do the rest of you think, since we have some guys on here who are fast local experts, some guys who have been on the grid at AMA Nationals, and some guys who have connections with THE fast guys from Team Texas.